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| Home >>> Analysis >>> 10/17/2005 1 | previous | next | ||||||
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Dave (Green) vs. Ira (White) Money Game Session |
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Game 01 |
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| Pip: 111 | ||
| Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0 | ||
| Pip: 130 | ||
| White | Double | |
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| 2. | Green | Take |
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| Cube action equity | |||
| Mini-Rollout | Money equity: | 0,598 | |
| 0,3% 22,8% 71,1% 28,9% 5,4% 0,2% | |||
| Evaluations | |||
| 1. | Redouble, take | 0,987 | |
| 2. | No redouble | 0,830 | (-0,156) |
| 3. | Redouble, pass | 1,000 | (+0,013) |
| Proper cube action: Redouble, take | |||
| Live cube | |||
| 1. | Redouble, take | 0,983 | |
| 2. | No redouble | 0,864 | (-0,119) |
| 3. | Redouble, pass | 1,000 | (+0,017) |
| Proper cube action: Redouble, take | |||
| Move 2 White |
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| Pip: 111 | ||
| Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0 | ||
| Pip: 130 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | M | 16/13 10/6 | 0,246 | |
| 0,4% 17,9% 63,3% 36,7% 6,5% 0,3% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: 0,246 | ||||
| * | 2 | M | 16/9 | 0,196 (-0,050) |
| 0,3% 15,1% 62,2% 37,8% 6,0% 0,2% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: 0,186 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | 10/6 5/2 | 0,126 (-0,121) | |
| 0,4% 16,0% 59,9% 40,1% 8,4% 0,3% | ||||
| 4 | 3 | 10/3 | 0,090 (-0,156) | |
| 0,4% 14,9% 58,8% 41,2% 8,3% 0,3% | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 16/13 5/1 | -0,116 (-0,363) | |
| 0,3% 10,3% 52,4% 47,6% 9,3% 0,3% | ||||
| Checker play |
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Not a good roll, and a reasonable play. 16/13, 10/6 seems a little bit better, because it leaves the same number of shots, but the shots are slightly less attractive on average, because they seem to leave more return shots and do not extract the back man unless Green hits with a 9. |
| Move 3 Green |
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| Pip: 104 | ||
| Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0 | ||
| Pip: 130 | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | M | 13/3 | -0,571 | |
| 0,2% 4,9% 26,1% 73,9% 23,5% 0,4% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: -0,575 | ||||
| 2 | M | 21/11 | -0,591 (-0,020) | |
| 0,1% 1,3% 20,2% 79,8% 8,2% 0,1% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: -0,591 | ||||
| 3 | M | 21/17 13/7 | -0,624 (-0,053) | |
| 0,1% 2,9% 22,3% 77,7% 17,9% 0,3% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: -0,625 | ||||
| * | 4 | M | 8/2 6/2 | -0,636 (-0,064) |
| 0,2% 5,0% 24,7% 75,3% 26,6% 0,4% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: -0,636 | ||||
| 5 | M | 7/1 5/1 | -0,657 (-0,086) | |
| 0,1% 4,1% 23,5% 76,5% 25,2% 0,3% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: -0,658 | ||||
| Checker play |
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This play triggered a long debate. Green will be 16 pips behind after the play, which means running is not a winning plan. Unfortunately the other plan of waiting for a shot opportunity is not much better. It wins more games, but it also loses a lot more gammons. Overall there is not much difference in equity between the two. |
