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| Home >>> Analysis >>> 08/07/2006 2 | previous | next | ||||||
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Dave (Green) vs. Ira (White) |
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| Pip: 129 | ||
| Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0 | ||
| Pip: 133 | ||
| Cube action equity | |||
| Mini-Rollout | Money equity: | 0,415 | |
| 3,1% 27,5% 62,2% 37,8% 12,4% 1,0% | |||
| Evaluations | |||
| 1. | Double, take | 0,555 | |
| 2. | No double | 0,478 | (-0,077) |
| 3. | Double, pass | 1,000 | (+0,445) |
| Proper cube action: Double, take | |||
| Live cube | |||
| 1. | Double, take | 0,553 | |
| 2. | No double | 0,480 | (-0,073) |
| 3. | Double, pass | 1,000 | (+0,447) |
| Proper cube action: Double, take | |||
| Cube action |
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Good double. Ira and John took and I dropped and dropped the cube for Marty too (sorry Marty!). That is a huge blunder! My argument was somewhat like this: Ther are 17 rolls, where White hits on the the 5-point and 2, where he hits on the 8-point. In all of these cases the game is as good as over with many gammon wins for White. In all other cases Green is probably a slight favorite, but that is not enough for a take. In reality it seems the game is far from over, even if White hits, since Green may hit back or anchor on the 3-point or at the very list get a 1-point game with probably suspect timing. If White does not hit and Green completes the 5-prime he is probably a bigger favorite than I had thought. |
